Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.000471 0.000526 0.000587 0.000660 0.000746 0.000844 0.000965
2025-01-12 0.000377 0.000448 0.000534 0.000647 0.000795 0.000984 0.001251
2025-01-19 0.000331 0.000413 0.000518 0.000667 0.000879 0.001179 0.001658
2025-01-26 0.000284 0.000366 0.000476 0.000640 0.000889 0.001270 0.001941
2025-02-02 0.000259 0.000342 0.000460 0.000644 0.000941 0.001432 0.002388
2025-02-09 0.000242 0.000328 0.000454 0.000661 0.001015 0.001646 0.003010
2025-02-16 0.000227 0.000315 0.000448 0.000675 0.001084 0.001868 0.003748
2025-02-23 0.000217 0.000308 0.000448 0.000699 0.001176 0.002160 0.004808
2025-03-02 0.000205 0.000295 0.000440 0.000705 0.001235 0.002401 0.005891
2025-03-09 0.000191 0.000279 0.000422 0.000693 0.001253 0.002558 0.006839
2025-03-16 0.000181 0.000268 0.000413 0.000695 0.001303 0.002805 0.008292
2025-03-23 0.000173 0.000260 0.000408 0.000703 0.001365 0.003110 0.010277
2025-03-30 0.000166 0.000253 0.000403 0.000715 0.001446 0.003520 0.013363
2025-04-06 0.000155 0.000239 0.000388 0.000701 0.001464 0.003757 0.016047
2025-04-13 0.000151 0.000235 0.000389 0.000723 0.001580 0.004383 0.022565
2025-04-20 0.000140 0.000220 0.000367 0.000693 0.001548 0.004467 0.025467
2025-04-27 0.000134 0.000214 0.000362 0.000698 0.001616 0.004981 0.034021
2025-05-04 0.000131 0.000211 0.000362 0.000717 0.001733 0.005786 0.050329
2025-05-11 0.000127 0.000207 0.000361 0.000732 0.001841 0.006658 0.075638
2025-05-18 0.000124 0.000205 0.000365 0.000759 0.001999 0.007950 0.130027
2025-05-25 0.000120 0.000200 0.000360 0.000766 0.002092 0.008990 0.207524
2025-06-01 0.000115 0.000193 0.000349 0.000752 0.002107 0.009567 0.291444
2025-06-08 0.000111 0.000188 0.000344 0.000755 0.002184 0.010690 0.501908